Since everyone is interested in SaaS funding and valuations I thought it would be helpful to tell you about an interesting Cloud Computing investor panel I attended at the recent All About the Cloud conference in SF. The session was moderated by Jason Green from Emergence Capital Partners and was joined by Gary Hromadko from Crosslink Capital, Mark McNay from William Blair and Evangelos Simoudis from Trident Capital.

So what did they have to say?

The market has finally changed for the better

2009 was all about survival and the venture community did less than half the investments than in a typical year.

This year is now about growing again and current investments are more focused on companies that have weathered the economic downturn. Their investments are focused on changing the slope of these types of company’s growth curves, by concentrating more on sales and marketing.

SaaS and Cloud companies are leading the way

Consumers have been driving the adoption of easier to use Cloud-based solutions like eBay, iTunes, Facebook, Twitter and LinkedIn. They are viral and can reach critical mass very quickly because there are low barriers to adoption.

With SaaS, the recession has really pushed the advantages of a subscription business model and moving from CapEx to OpEx software investments. It’s like leasing your car rather than buying it.

Lean start-ups are definitely in. Almost all early stage software investments in 2009-10 are Cloud-based because it takes a fair amount of capital to fund SaaS firms and it takes a long time for them to reach profitability. One interesting comment was that later stage on-premise companies are now being asked about what their SaaS/Cloud strategy is for the future, because without it, they may find funding might be difficult.

What the VC’s are looking for

SaaS 1.0 focused on a company’s income statement, expenses and cash flows than GAAP reported financials. One important measurement is a company’s incremental contribution margins (gross margins), which is critical for SaaS. Companies needed to balance capital efficiency with building a business that can scale.

Investors are looking for unique business processes that can only be built or automated through SaaS or the Cloud. Emergence latest investments are pure Cloud-based companies that have viral qualities like YouSendit, the files sharing company and Yammer and the enterprise micro-blogging firm, both of these companies are viral enterprise solutions. Yammer has more than 70,000 customers with at least 1 user and is signing up between 7-10,000 users a month and 10% are turning into paying customers. Crosslink invested in Carbonite, a backup and recovery company, has high margins and is the only other independent player in the category with Mozy, who is owned by EMC. They felt that scarcity of competitors and their ability to manage Customer Acquisition Costs were important in establishing the company’s value.

The panelists also said they are looking for companies that have a rigorous focus on metrics like Customer Lifetime Value and Customer Acquisition Costs. In fact CAC appears to drive business value because it has a lot to do with capital efficiency and the company’s ability to grow their business.

Exits, IPO’s and Valuations

Economy has recovered and CEO’s are ready to start taking on more risk, and it’s a real change in psychology because we are at the beginning of a macro trend that will last more than 10 years.

This is evident by more than 100 M&A transactions last quarter including high profile deals like IBM buying CastIron, Salesforce buying Jigsaw for $142M, Successfactors buying CubeTree for $50M. The current environment is right for deals, especially as SaaS is gaining enterprise momentum with recent deals like SuccessFactors’ mega deal with Walmart for 1.6M users. Transactions like Jigsaw, CubeTree, and CA’s purchase of 3Tera and Nimsoft for $350M all indicate a return to a healthy M&A atmosphere, that will probably last for the next 12-18 months.

Oracle and SAP won’t be aggressive on the M&A front until they come to the realization that they can’t build Cloud solutions internally. Because many SaaS companies have now crossed the $25-30M in recurring revenues threshold, these firms may become quite attractive to these larger ISV’s looking to make the move to the SaaS business model.

But these acquirers don’t want to take on the burn associated with many start-ups so it will be important to stay close to breakeven and you may have to sacrifice growth for profitability. Since the access to capital is still tight, start-ups will have to try and collect cash upfront and continue to tune their business models to improve cash flows.

Companies that seem to own a category have perceived scarcity value which will result in a premium on any transaction, especially if they are perceived to own a segment franchise. VC’s and acquirers are looking for a minimum of 40% CAGR to get a premium valuation.

On the other side of the liquidity front, the IPO window for SaaS companies is beginning to open up and firms like SolarWinds and LogMeIn have now been joined by SPS Commerce and Convio. At least before the recent stock market downturn, these companies had traded up by 15% since their IPOs.

The panel seemed to believe that the market is definitely getting better and that is good news for SaaS and Cloud Computing companies looking for funding or an exit!

I always thought that the Software-as-a-Service market would expland during a recessionary economy because:

1) Companies don’t have capital dollars to buy software

2) The ability to pay-as-you-go appeals to CFO’s

3) No infrastructure to buy, since it is hosted or in the cloud.

But this was a real surprise.   According to IDC,  2009 will be a breakout year for SaaS!  Robert Mahowald, research director at IDC says “SaaS thrives in down cycles, and as with the 2000 - 2001 downturn that gave Salesforce.com its start, the current freeze in IT and related Capex spending will help assure solid growth for most SaaS providers.”  Read the whole article.

When most companies think about moving towards a Software-as-a-Service business model they often just change their pricing model.  You know the drill, instead of charging a big perpetual license fee upfront with some services and then an annual maintenance fee, you switch over to a SaaS agreement that is structured quite differently; with the subscription being spread over the term of the agreement and some upfront services to get started.

Don’t get me wrong, changing your pricing is a big deal if you are a traditional software company.  By changing your pricing dynamic you are moving from a Capital Expense (CapEx)  to an Operating Expense (OpEx) orientation, this is a dramatic change!  It’s even a bigger deal if you are a publicly traded software company.  But the overall SaaS business model is really all about monitoring and measuring metrics, ratios and statistics.

I ran into a very interesting company recently, OpEx Engine,  that has done extensive benchmarking of SaaS and technology companies, and has complied a library of operational metrics for over 50 public and privately held software firms. Lauren Kelley, OpEx’s CEO is an ex- Art Technology Group (ARTG) executive who realized that smart technology  people were looking for these types of real-world benchmarks and operating metrics. Lauren’s team has spent the last two years accumulating a lot of really value information.  I can’t tell you how many times I have looked for good comparative metrics on how much companies typically invested in sales and marketing, research and development and G&A when building out a business model.  For instance, did you know that of all of the publicly-traded SaaS companies that DealerTracker (TRAK) has the lowest R&D investment as a percentage of their revenue? (4.9%)  Did you also know that Salesforce.com (CRM), Omniture (OMTR), NetSuite (N), and SuccessFactors (SFSF) all spend more than 50% of their revenues on sales and marketing? That’s an easy one but you should definately check out the free information that Lauren provides on her site.

There are many other metrics that are needed to successfully run a SaaS company but one of the most important is your overall cost of sales and marketing.  Understanding what your true Customer Acquisition Costs is a critical SaaS business performance indicator.  I was recently at the SIIA On Demand Conference in San Jose where I heard Josh James, the CEO at Omniture present his sales and marketing modeling methodology, that he has dubbed the ‘Magic Number’ for SaaS companies.   Since it would probably justify a completely separate post, all I can say that this is a really innovative way to determine if your % of sales and marketing spend is either too much or too little.  Phil Wainewright wrote a great piece on the Magic Number - When to spend cash in a SaaS business - which is definitely worth reading.  What Omniture has done really well is to figure out the overall profitability of their clients, market saturation, marketing effectiveness and the number of Quota Bearing Sales Reps (QBSR’s) that are required to grab market share. It’s cool.

Other sources of good SaaS market information and metrics are:

TripleTree, a boutique investment bank which conducts some solid SaaS research, Cutter Consortium, Saugatuck Technologies, and Jeff Kaplan’s firm Think Strategies.

If you hear of any other good ones, let me know.