I was going to write this post earlier in the week but it seemed that everywhere I turned I saw more developments and wanted to include them.  The market is really starting to get frothy and there are many big SaaS/Cloud deals happening and companies going public with very large market caps.  Let’s take a look:

Recent Acquisitions

SuccessFactors (NASDAQ: SFSF) Acquires Plateau Systems for $290M, which was paid in half cash and half in stock.  This is an interesting move since it is the first acquisition that could be considered ‘core’ functionality when compared with other acquisitions like CubeTree (Collaboration), YouCalc (Analytics), Inform (Analytics) and Jambok (eLearning).  Plateau also has a fairly significant product portfolio overlap including compensation, performance management and succession planning, so it should be interesting to see how these offerings are consolidated.

Plateau has a very respectable customer-base with a large number of federal government customers as well as many large enterprise customers.  The company also was profitable and has some interesting Platform-as-a-Service capabilities that should be very useful for a larger SaaS portfolio.

Based on the market basket of publicly traded SaaS firms, this deal will make SuccessFactors the second largest firm in the group based on current revenues.  We estimate that at their current quarterly run-rate of $68M and Plateau’s estimated annual revenues, the combined company now is probably around $340M, which is only second to Salesforce.com.

CenturyLink (NASDAQ: CTL) Buys Savvis (NASDAQ: SVVS) for $2.5B, which is now third largest telecommunications company in the US with $18B in annual revenues.  The company had purchased Qwest earlier in the year and that deal was finalized on April 1st.   Now with the acquisition of Savvis, CenturyLink is moving into the Cloud Computing market with more than 48 data centers globally.

This is the second major deal in the Cloud Computing market of an emerging Infrastructure-as-a-Service provider, when Verizon purchased Terremark for $1.4B in January.  This should stimulate further consolidation of other providers and Rackspace may be the next target.

Salesforce.com (NASDAQ: CRM) Picks Up Radian6 for $326M for the Canadian social media monitoring company.  Radian6 helps their customers monitor ‘hundreds of millions’ of social media conversations. Salesforce believes that the acquisition will enable it to enhance all of its products, including Sales Cloud, Service Cloud, Chatter and Force.com.

Infor and Golden Gate Capital Buys Lawson Software for $2B.  Now this is technically not a SaaS or Cloud related deal but it just is another example of the pressure traditional providers are feeling from the up and coming SaaS and Cloud providers like Netsuite, Workday and even Oracle’s new Fusion offerings.

Recent SaaS IPO’s

Cornerstone OnDemand (NADSAQ: CSOD) went public on March 16th and quickly captured a market cap of $800M, even when the company lost more than $45M.  The company offers a suite of Talent Management solutions similar to what is offered by SuccessFactors and Taleo.

ServiceSource International (NASDAQ: SREV) completed their IPO on March 25th and were valued at more than $800M as well.  ServiceSource helps companies manage their revenue streams from renewals, maintenance and subscription agreements, which is especially important for SaaS firms.

Responsys (NASDAQ: MKTG) was able to launch into the public markets on April 21st and got a very respectable market value of $2.4B.  The company offers SaaS-based software and services that help retailers and eCommerce firms build and manage online campaigns.

By Kevin Dobbs

Montclair Advisors, LLC

Now that many software companies really feel that the risks associated with a second recession are firmly in the rearview mirror, it now seems like everyone is looking to grow their businesses.

I read a great post yesterday by Bruce Cleveland at InterWest Ventures about the Value of Growth for SaaS Companies, which I thought really accurately captured a challenge that many software firms face when transitioning to a SaaS model.   This is a subject that is near and dear to me given my background as a reformed marketing executive and someone who was responsible lead generation at Oracle years ago during the Tom Siebel and Marc Benioff era.   I think it was Tom Siebel when he was running Oracle’s inside sales team that told me “I want it to rain leads from the sky!” At the time I was actually shocked because he was asking me to literally drown his sales team with qualified opportunities who wanted to buy Oracle’s database products.

As I have come to learn that he knew exactly what he was talking about and his track record demonstrates that productive sales teams deliver amazing revenue growth results.  Bruce’s post highlights that a SaaS company without meaningful growth is not worth very much and probably will fetch the low-end of the valuation curve, which is still pretty good in today’s crazy market (See last week’s post about the SaaS Bubble).   So how are high flying SaaS companies like Salesforce and SuccessFactors achieving CAGR’s in excess of 30% every year?   Check out this chart I put together on some of the leading publicly traded SaaS firms (sans Salesforce because they will skew the chart):

As you can see the companies with the higher growth rates are also the ones that have high market caps (valued more highly by Wall Street).  What is really interesting is that SuccessFactors was able to grow by almost 50% for the past three years, even through one of the worst recessions in the last 100 years.  The value of growth can also been seen by a company that recently went public, Cornerstone OnDemand, they have been rewarded with a market cap that is over $800M even though the company lost more than $40M last year.  Seems crazy right?  But they have a great organic growth story along with a major channel relationship with ADP which could also signal even faster growth in the future.

If you talk to any software sales rep they often complain about their pipeline and the lack of quality leads. Reminds me of those coveted Glengarry leads  from Mitch and Murray downtown.    So at the heart of all of these companies and their rapid growth rates is that they have all developed a core competency to generate high quality leads and build pipelines quickly.

(click on picture to see clip)

Here are some tricks that I have learned along the way that will help you to build out your SaaS lead generation strategies:

• Use a Portfolio Approach - Depending on your product, buyers, and market there may be many ways to generate interest.  Campaign elements of a typical lead generation strategy are a combination of organic and paid web traffic, email campaigns, webinars, customer programs, social media and targeted events.   Don’t put all of your investment in a single demand generation approach, but reward the tactics that generate quality leads at an affordable price.
• Test and Test Again - With the portfolio approach you will need to continually test your messaging, packaging, value propositions, and price points.   The best-in-class SaaS firms are continually testing and refining their lead strategies.  This is important as most SaaS marketing organizations are trying to lower and optimize their Customer Acquisition Costs (CAC).
• Automate Where Possible -  There are a lot of great Sales 2.0 tools available today that can give you a real unfair advantage in the lead generation process.  Companies like Marketo, Pardot, Eloqua, Constant Contact, NetSuite and even Salesforce offer many tools to help you automate and analyze your marketing efforts.  I would definitely recommend implementing a lead nurturing or drip marketing program to continue to work your lower quality leads, this is a great way to build your pipeline over time with little direct human intervention.
• Track Everything - Make sure your sales operations and marketing teams are tracking and analyzing all of your lead activities and conversion rates.  You don’t need to be overly complex, but just tracking some basic things like lead scores, lead acceptance rates, leads converting to opportunities and close rates can help your organization to fuel your high growth SaaS sales engine.

With Cornerstone OnDemand’s recent IPO (NASDAQ: CSOD) and their high valuation based on a negative EBIDTA, many are starting to ask if we are headed for a second Internet or SaaS Bubble?

I do agree that some of the valuations at this point are a lot higher than a reasonable person would expect, but this is probably just pent up interest in the technology sector. It doesn’t help that Facebook and LinkedIn has seriously pumped up the valuations for Internet/Social Media firms, but today’s SaaS companies are very different from the Dot Bombs of 1999/2000.

Remember these companies?

All of these companies were built on bad business models, too much money and expectations that were out of control. And by the way are all out of business.

But not all of the Internet companies that were formed during this period were bombs; in fact there are a number of firms that are now pillars of the technology industry including these firms:

It would be safe to say that each of these companies struggled during and after the Dot-Com collapse but they were able to modify their models to take advantage of the efficiencies that the Internet provided. Amazon has built a business that can effectively compete against the largest retailer in the world, Walmart, even though its sales are only 1/12^th their revenues.

All of these Internet Survivors had to develop a real business model that would deliver solid margins, profits and growth. They each had to assemble experienced management teams, learn how to deliver superior customer service and build trusted brands. Not easy to do, but they did it.

Fast-forward to today and we have a whole new set of Internet and Software-as-a-Service companies that have emerged and gone public including these firms:

(1) CSOD IPO: March 17, 2011

(2) SREV IPO: March 25, 2011

As you can see most of these companies were founded before the Internet Bubble burst and were forced to create real business models that could deliver profits.

At Montclair Advisors, we specialize in SaaS business advisory services and we know many of these firms quite well and they all have strong management teams, growing businesses and staying power. Unlike the Internet firms that went IPO in 1999 or 2000, most of these firms have had to build up their businesses over ten or more years and are based on some form of recurring revenues.

Major differences between the companies on this list versus the early Dot Bomb firms include:

• Proven Over Time. As you can see most of these firms are at least ten years old and have weathered the economic changes through the last two recessions.

• Businesses at Scale. Most of these companies are over $100M in annual revenues, which means they have been successful in selling into multiple markets and geographies.

• Recurring Revenue Streams. Anyone who has been involved with a company that has developed a subscription business can tell you how hard it is to create a meaningful recurring revenue stream. The advantages of being a SaaS software company based on subscriptions means that revenues remain consistent so there is a high degree of transparency and visibility.

• High Degree of Customer Satisfaction. All of these companies are dependent on satisfied customers that want to renew their annual subscription agreements and purchase more services. This is quite different than the ‘drive-by’ relationships many of the early Internet companies developed with their customers.

• Strong Management Teams. After the Dot Com crash it became much harder to file for an IPO and manage a company in the post Sarbanes-Oxley world. These next generation of Internet companies have attracted leading management expertise that knows how to innovate and rapidly scale viable businesses.

So are the valuations of companies like Cornerstone OnDemand and Servicesource, Facebook and LinkedIn too high? Are we beginning to see a SaaS Bubble? Maybe, but all of these companies have been built for the long term and will be around long after any correction, unlike their early Internet cousins Web Van or Kozmo.com.

It is always hard to predict the future, but here are my 10 Predictions for the SaaS market in 2011, and they might just happen:

Blockbuster Subscription Software IPO’s

A number of large consumer subscription software players including Facebook, Groupon, LinkedIn, Zynga and Skype could really open up the public markets with a major blockbuster IPO (or IPO’s) in 2011.  SaaS firms that look to get everyone’s attention with potential IPO’s next year include Cornerstone OnDemand, Workday, Marketo, Service-Now and possibly Plateau.

Major Players Merge to Form the Next Big SaaS Brand

So my prediction (which is a pure guess) is that SuccessFactors and Taleo finally get over their respective CEO ego issues and decide to merge.   Sounds a little crazy, but when you really consider their product portfolios, there might not be as much of an overlap as you might think.  SuccessFactors is basically a performance and analytics company and Taleo is a recruiting and learning (after acquiring Learn.com) company.  They both have some additional components that could be plugged into to create a more comprehensive suite of CPM and Talent Management offerings.

This would also create a combined company with a market cap approaching (SFSF + TLEO) $4B and annual revenues in excess of $400M, which would be the second largest SaaS firm in the market, and a clear leader in their space.  Another potential marriage might be Concur and Ultimate Software.

Oracle Finally Pulls the Trigger on NetSuite

It seems like most Oracle SaaS rumors involve the acquisition of Salesforce.com, and that may happen some day, but the more likely combination for 2011 is NetSuite.  Larry Ellison is a major investor in NetSuite (early investor) and own/controls more that 50% of the company’s shares.  He may come to the conclusion that he needs some real SaaS DNA inside of Oracle to help grow their Fusion business in 2011 and beyond.

SAP Throws in The Towel and Buys Leading SaaS Player

Similar to the realization that many other major traditional ISV’s will come to in 2011, that they are too far beyond in SaaS to catch up organically, SAP will buy their way into SaaS.  The Business ByDesign project for SAP, by some estimates, has cost more than $1 billion and there isn’t much to show for it.  I always thought that the Sybase acquisition was just a smoke screen to cover up how little progress has been made with BBD at their most recent Sapphire user meeting.   Like Oracle, I think SAP reaches out into the market and purchases a SaaS firm to jump start BBD.  RightNow would be an interesting choice since SAP wants to make a splash in the CRM market.

Master Brands Continue to March Towards SaaS

These big software companies are no longer just paying lip service to SaaS or the Cloud, they continue to catch up with the subscription software market transition that is happening everywhere.  All sizes of customers who were battered during the recession are no longer interested in spending a lot of capital and time that has been associated with traditional software projects and are becoming increasing comfortable with SaaS.  This shift in the Software market is massive and is going to take at least 10 years, and we are probably only in the second year (post-recession) of this shift.  Continue to look to see what SaaS moves firms like Oracle, SAP, HP, CA and Infor make in 2011.

Continued Explosion of PaaS offerings

Look at Salesforce.com’s recent moves to expand their Force.com Platform-as-a-Service portfolio with VMForce and then buying Ruby on Rails provider Heroku for over $200 million.  Beyond Force.com there are many other offerings here today and coming in 2011 including App Engine by Google, Apprenda, Azure by Microsoft, Corent, Engine Yard, Facebook, Flex by Adobe, Fusion by Oracle, Intalio, IPP by Intuit, LongJump, Nimbula, SuiteCloud by NetSuite, and Wolf Frameworks.

As long as traditional ISV’s continue to move towards SaaS, there will be a green field opportunity for all types of PaaS solutions. Look for several of these firms to be acquired in 2011 by larger ISV’s.

Salesforce.com Continues to Expand Beyond CRM

After attending Dreamforce this month, it was curious to see a number of Force.com firms offering ERP extensions starting to gain real market momentum. Companies like FinancialForce.com (they purchased Appirio’s PSE business) who are delivering a growing suite of financial and accounting applications, JobScience who continue to build out their Talent Relationship Management suite on Force.com, Less Software who is selling a targeted Supply Chain Management solution and even Remedy’s Service Desk offering, RemedyForce Cloud.   If Salesforce offers an attractive exit for any of these firms or their Force.com products, like they did with Heroku, then it might be possible to do a quick roll-up of key partners to create a competitive Cloud-based ERP solution.

Interestingly this type of move might be triggered by Oracle buying Netsuite or Workday going public.

Fake SaaS Firms That Use Private Clouds Will Loose Altitude

Although Private Clouds might be a viable alternative for enterprises who are looking to leverage the economics of the Cloud, for software companies this type of approach will only provide short term ‘Fake SaaS‘ types of solutions.  This type of business model of hosting single-tenant software was known as Application Service Providers (ASP’s) and none of these companies that emerged about 10 years ago were able to find a business model that really scaled profitably.   Private Clouds will offer a short term technology transition steps for software companies who are moving away from just offering traditional on-premise software but this trend will really start to fade by later next year.

New Revenue Streams for SaaS Firms That OEM

At Dreamforce ‘10 Salesforce.com announced that they are launching their new Database.com offering, a Database in the Cloud. What was interesting about this news is that Salesforce is really just reselling a private-label version of Oracle’s database technology.  For Salesforce this is a unique way to take proven Oracle software, designed for on-premise deployment, and create a true subscription-based version of this product.  No doubt that Salesforce will need to do some work to create a massive multi-tenant version of an ORACLE database and then deliver it as a service, but they are already doing this today through their Force.com platform.  This could be a significant new revenue stream for both companies and look for other SaaS firms to try OEM’ing their software as a way to improve their CAGRs in 2011.

This should be an interesting year as the economy improves and the SaaS market really begins to gain some serious momentum.  It should be a fun time to be in the Software business again.

Kevin Dobbs,  Montclair Advisors, LLC

By Kevin Dobbs

The last few months have been quite active in the SaaS market and here are some things that caught my attention:

• Who would have believed that we would be seeing Initial Public Offerings after our recent recession but new offerings include SciQuest (NASDAQ: SQI), Qlik Technologies (NASDAQ: QLIK), Ancestory.com (NASDAQ: ACOM) and Financial Engines (NASDAQ: FNGN).  There are a number of upcoming IPO’s including Talent Management provider Cornerstone OnDemand.

• You can tell the SaaS and Software markets continue to gain momentum based on the number of M&A deals over the past 90 days including Oracle buying Art Technology Group, hardware company Dell purchased SaaS integration firm Boomi, Deltek buys government market research firm INPUT, talent management leader SuccessFactors buys analytics firm Youcalc, Taleo purchasing Learn.com for $125M, recruiting firm Kenexa acquired Salary.com and even PE-owned SumTotal Systems buying Softscape.

• Firms that are making good progress in their SaaS transitions include Callidus (NASDAQ: CALD) and Plateau Systems.

• Software companies who seem to be having more trouble with their current subscription and license models include Concur (NASDAQ: CNQR), MicroStrategy (NASDAQ: MSTR), Manhattan Associates (NASDAQ: MANH), and SAP (NYSE: SAP).

• The Venture community continues to fund SaaS and Cloud Computing firms, several who have been profiled by this blog have received funding in the last six months (congrats!) internet billing firm Zuora lands $20M, Cloud management platform RightScale grabbed $25M, multi-tenancy Cloud platform firm Nimbula raises $15M, marketing automation provider Marketo, Bill.com, social platform provider Jive Software raises $30M, Gooddata and Cloud9 Analytics.

• SaaS, Software and Cloud Computing firms have also made some interesting management changes over the past few months including; ex-Oracle president Charles Phillips (video) moved over to become the new CEO at Infor, Taleo lands a new CFO former Palm executive Douglas Jefferies, Saba has added a SaaS-experienced CMO Karen Steele, SuccessFactors brings in seasoned President from Salesforce.com - Doug Dennerline, PeopleclickAuthoria Chairman Charles Jones returns as CEO to run company and well-respected analyst Ray Wang joins Constellation Research.

Company:              Cornerstone OnDemand

Started:                  1999

Located:                 Santa Monica, California

Geography:            Global

Market:                  Integrated Talent Management

Products:              Onboarding, Learning Management, Social Networking, Compliance, Performance Management, Compensation, Succession Planning and Extended Enterprise

Key Customers:   Barclays, Barnes & Noble, Kelly Services, MasterCard, Turner Broadcasting, Starwood Hotels & Resorts, Flextronics, Ticketmaster, Sanford Health, Save the Children

Website:               Cornerstone OnDemand

Blog:                    Talent Management Blog

Twitter:                @Cornerstoneinc

Recent News:

Cornerstone OnDemand Spotlights Key Learning and Talent Management Trends at Learning Technologies 2010

Cornerstone OnDemand EMEA General Manager to Give Keynote Presentations at iLearning Forum 2010

NRF Foundation Chooses Cornerstone OnDemand’s Industry-Leading LMS for Global Training Initiatives

Cornerstone OnDemand Rated as a Leader in Bersin & Associates’ “Talent Management Systems Customer Satisfaction” Report

New Features Put Cornerstone OnDemand’s Enterprise Social Networking Platform on Par with Stand-Alone Solutions

I asked Adam Miller, Cornerstone OnDemand’s President and CEO a few questions about his business and his view of the SaaS market as we move into 2010.

Did you start out as a Software-as-a-Service company?

We started the company in 1999 as CyberU, which was an on-demand Internet content company, focused on e-Learning. We were on-demand before there was Software-as-a-Service.

The original idea for the company was to provide access to education on-line for individuals and small businesses, which was more of a consumer business model than what we are doing today. CyberU was a distributor of on-line training content as opposed to delivering the courses through a traditional classroom.

What we started to realize is that large companies were interested in educating their employees, so we then begin selling to large Fortune 100 type companies. Many of these companies had a strong resistance to using any type of on-line business solutions, because they felt that it should be inside their own data center behind a secure firewall. There were a lot of concerns around security, scalability and control of business applications. This was about the same time that Amazon.com was launching their on-line retail operations and consumers had similar issues putting their credit card information on-line. From about 2000 through 2006 we were just a small software company that sold training and content over the Internet.

We held to our belief in on-line solutions and even as recently as 2004 we lost many of our deals because we wouldn’t deliver our product as an on-premise offering, but we knew if we did that for even one client we would undo our economic model.

Then over time we were still managing training on-line but our customers wanted to tie the courses back to leadership and succession plans and then led us to rollout an integrated Talent Management suite of solutions. Well, as it turns out the SaaS model has caught on and has grown form less than 300,000 to now over 3.3 million eLearning and Talent Management users, who are happy we decided to deliver our products over the Internet.

Why do your customers buy from Cornerstone OnDemand?

Our customers buy from us because our solutions are better, faster and cheaper than traditional Talent Management solutions.

We are better because we offer a fully integrated talent management platform that covers all of the different aspects of managing people all the way from ‘hire-to-retire’.

Cornerstone OnDemand is faster because our entire system is configurable with 11 discrete modules and over 9,000 individual features, that all can be personalized to address our customer’s business requirements. Our customers can also start with a single model and then turn on incremental modules over time as they are ready for more functionality. Our system can scale to serve the needs of the largest organizations and down to very small companies. In fact, our largest customer is Kelly Services with over 750,000 users and we have eight customers who have more than 150,000 users each. Our average customer has about 14,000 users.

The reason we are cheaper is because we are a pure-play SaaS provider. Our customers have found that it is cheaper to only have to buy from a single supplier, not have to buy hardware and have a lot of staff having to manage multiple systems and relationships.

Our customers also like that we only build products based on their enhancement requests because we don’t build software they don’t want. We currently offer five integrated products including Learning, Performance, Succession, Connect or what some are calling Social Networking and Extended Enterprise which services the needs of non-employees using both our Learning and Connect products. Cornerstone offers global capabilities and has users in 141 countries and supports 16 languages. We think we are doing a good job because we have 95% customer retention rates and that is very important to us.

What do you see as the key trend emerging in the SaaS industry?

The biggest trends we see are Cloud Computing and Mashups. Mashups can be Platform-as-a-Service (PaaS) methods to combine application functionality and even integrations between different company’s systems. It is like delivering third party content to customer and they don’t know where it comes from but it is valuable. We anticipate that customers in the near future will be able to do basic integrations between content and systems themselves without needed the assistance of any third party or system integrators and that will be very popular.

We are also starting to see more, large-scale deployments as SaaS becomes more mainstream. As I mentioned earlier we have eight customers with over 150,000 users including some very large banks, insurance and two of the largest healthcare companies who are now deploying Cornerstone OnDemand solutions, which is exciting.

What is your outlook for 2010?

2009 was the best year we have ever had and broke all of our records. We think that 2010 is even going to be better and we are very bullish.

Last year we were able to gain some significant marketshare and we will continue our expansion this year. For instance our partnership with ADP is just getting off the ground and this year we will anticipate more deals from a growing partner pipeline. ADP is proving to be a great partner and has brought a lot of resources to the table and we are optimistic about 2010.

But we are still not out of the woods with the broader economy and there are still has some weak spots, so we will continue to monitor things carefully.