Tag: Facebook

As it turned out I was right about 50% of my predictions last year, so here’s my educated guesses for what is going to happen to the SaaS market in 2012:

#10  Oracle will buy Netsuite.

I know this isn’t much of a surprise since Larry Ellison owns approximately 65% of Netsuite, but with the RightNow acquisition, this type of move makes more sense as part of coordinated Cloud acquisition strategy.

#9  SaaS IPO window remains open.

There are a number of SaaS firms who have either filed, like Eloqua, or are seriously considering going public in 2012, like Workday, Dropbox, Box, and Guidewire.  This window can be opened even wider by successful IPO’s from companies like Yelp and Facebook.  The only problem is that there are over 100 companies who have already filed to go public in 2012, so it might be difficult for smaller SaaS firms to do their IPO.

#8. Master brands will continue to chase SaaS offerings.

IBM just purchased DemandTec and SAP bought SuccessFactors, while Oracle bought RightNow.  This is a big change from 2010 when most of these companies were not interested in the Cloud or SaaS.  All of these master brands have tried to build their own SaaS businesses, but I think they have now finally realized that SaaS is a business model, not just new technology.  The smart firms will keep their SaaS businesses and their core license businesses separate and not try and merge them.  Good luck.

#7. Workday will have a monster IPO.

There is no doubt that the 2012 IPO of Facebook will set all sorts of records but for enterprise software, I think Workday will be one of the biggest on record.  The company just took in $85 million in funding over the past few months, in what was termed an IPO preview round. Workday could raise as much as $500 million in an IPO, which would force the big ERP players to start building out their SaaS businesses as a defensive strategy at the bare minimum.

#6. SaaS starts to go global.

I was involved in an Oracle SaaS webinar a couple of weeks ago for an audience in Europe and the response was really impressive.  I initially thought that most of the registrants would be from the UK, the Netherlands, Germany and Scandinavia.  Actually there were attendees from almost every country in Europe.  I have also started to hear about strong SaaS interest in Australia, New Zealand, Brazil, Japan, China and many other countries.  2012 will just continue to build on the SaaS market’s growing global momentum.

#5. Salesforce continues to expand beyond CRM.

During 2011 Salesforce purchased several firms that added new capabilities to their platform including DimDim (collaboration), Radian6 (social analytics), Model Metrics (mobility) and then they bought Rypple in December, which launched them into the Human Capital market.  I predict that Salesforce will add several other HCM tuck-in acquisitions (JobScience, Jobvite), financial applications (FinancialForce, Zuora), or even supply chain management (Glovia OM, Kenandy).

#4. IT Management and Security SaaS offerings emerge.

Companies like CA have been successful in launching their new Nimsoft ITM SaaS offering during 2011, but there are also many other firms that are beginning to gain momentum with their new SaaS offerings as well. This is a very big market opportunity to replace existing legacy infrastructure and security offerings. Companies to watch include Service-Now, Trustwave, Splunk, PingIdentity and Proofpoint.

(Note: CA/Nimsoft and PingIdentity are Montclair Advisors clients)

#3. SaaS continues to be social.

With Jive going public during December 2011, they are just the most recent example of SaaS social applications gaining market acceptance.  Salesforce has been very successful with their Chatter and Radian6 offerings.  Independents like Yammer, SocialCast, Lithium and CentralDesktop will continue to see increased demand for their social/collaboration platforms.

#2. More big VC rounds for SaaS firms.

2012 will continue to see VC’s put a lot of money to work with leading SaaS companies.  We saw some major investments during 2011 including Box ($81 million), Dropbox ($250 million), HubSpot ($32 million), Marketo ($50 million), Workday ($85 million) and Zuora ($35 million).  This trend will continue in 2012 and companies will be putting a lot of money to work to build out their platforms and distribution capabilities.

#1. Storage is a major story for 2012.

As more and more data is stored in the Cloud, consumers and businesses are looking to all different types of on-line storage services.  During the year that Apple launched its iCloud small business and music storage service, we also saw major funding rounds for SaaS companies including Dropbox and Box.  We even saw a new IPO from Carbonite that provides a small business/consumer Cloud back-up service.  This is definitely a segment of the SaaS market to keep an eye on in 2012.

Over the past few months SaaS companies have continued to announce very large funding rounds as they are demonstrating the power of their subscription-based business platforms. Many of these firms are deciding to do large private rounds before filing to go public. Here is a quick round-up of some of these firms:

The company has raised an amazing series B round of $250 million. Dropbox is the Cloud storage company that is very popular with mobile phone and iPad users. They have about 70 employees and have secured more than 40 million customers in the past 12 months. This round put the company’s market valuation at close to $4 billion. This is probably the largest B round we have seen and may have been done as an alternative to doing an IPO.  Sounds like a Facebook type of story because like Mark Zuckerberg turned down a significant acquisition offer from Google, and apparently the DropBox founders, Drew Houston and Arash Ferdowsi, turned down a nine-figure offer from Apple in 2009.

Workday or “PeopleSoft 2.0″, has been making consistent progress towards a 2012 IPO and announced at their recent Workday Rising conference in October that they had just closed an $85 million dollar round of funding. Like Dropbox, Workday has now raised about $250 million. With this lastest round, the company is now valued at $2 billion. What was interesting is that unlike most private fundings, which are usually led by venture capital firms, this round was lead almost exclusively by institutional investors like T. Rowe Price, Morgan Stanley, Janus and Fidelity. As co-CEO Aneel Bhusri put it “In some ways, it’s an early debut of an IPO.” Workday claims they are on track to do about $320 bookings during 2011, which is more than 100% CAGR from 2010.

Another major Cloud storage company, Box.net, resisted a $600 million dollar offer from Citrix and just closed an $81 million round with Bessemer Venture Partners, NEA, Salesforce.com and SAP and existing investors Draper Fisher Jurvetson and Andreesen Horowitz. After this round the company’s valuation is $600 million. The company has about 7 million users and is leveraging a very successful ‘freemium’ go-to-market model.

With competitor Eloqua already in IPO registration to raise $100 million for their Revenue Performance Management (RPM) platform business, Marketo isn’t far behind. The company announced last week that they had just raised another $50 million in a round led by Battery Ventures along with Institutional Venture Partners, InterWest, Mayfield Fund and Storm Ventures. Marketo’s estimated size of around $15 million in in 2010, should double in 2011, but they are probably a little small to do an IPO at this point. Obviously the venture community thinks this RPM area around marketing and revenue optimization for SaaS is quite hot right now.

As part of their IPO registration, Jive Software just raised another $40 million prior to their public offering. Sequoia Capital and Kleiner Perkins Caulfield & Byers purchased stock through preferred warrants. Jive is provides an enterprise social business platform. Currently the company is on a $80 million run-rate but still not profitable and has raised close to $100 million overall.

Enterprise subscription commerce and billing provider Zuora also announced a large round of funding last week. The company raised a Series D round of $35 million from Index Ventures, Greylock along with a personal investment from Workday co-CEO Dave Duffield and their existing investors. To date the company has now raised $82 million. Zuora plans to use these funds to aggressively expand their distribution activities internationally, specifically in Europe.

The common thread for all of these companies is that they have businesses that are growing rapidly and have built very scalable platforms. With the IPO window open, but the public markets are still uncertain, we will probably see more of these type of IPO-preview type of funding announcements as SaaS firms continue to gain momentum in the market.

With Cornerstone OnDemand’s recent IPO (NASDAQ: CSOD) and their high valuation based on a negative EBIDTA, many are starting to ask if we are headed for a second Internet or SaaS Bubble?

I do agree that some of the valuations at this point are a lot higher than a reasonable person would expect, but this is probably just pent up interest in the technology sector. It doesn’t help that Facebook and LinkedIn has seriously pumped up the valuations for Internet/Social Media firms, but today’s SaaS companies are very different from the Dot Bombs of 1999/2000.

Remember these companies?

Company

Business

Market Cap

(000’s)

Web Van

On-line Groceries

$1,200

Pets.com

On-line Pet Supplies

$ 325

VerticalNet

Marketing

$5,400

Kozmo.com

Delivery Services

Private

All of these companies were built on bad business models, too much money and expectations that were out of control. And by the way are all out of business.

But not all of the Internet companies that were formed during this period were bombs; in fact there are a number of firms that are now pillars of the technology industry including these firms:

Company

Founded

Business

Ticker

Market Cap

(000’s)

Amazon

1994

eCommerce

AMZN

$76,380

Ariba

1996

eProcurment

ARBA

$ 3,140

eBay

1995

eCommerce

EBAY

$39,370

j2 Global Comm.

1995

Communications

JCOM

$ 1,340

Priceline

1997

eCommerce

PCLN

$23,790

WebMD

1996

Health Content

WBMD

$ 3,150

It would be safe to say that each of these companies struggled during and after the Dot-Com collapse but they were able to modify their models to take advantage of the efficiencies that the Internet provided. Amazon has built a business that can effectively compete against the largest retailer in the world, Walmart, even though its sales are only 1/12th their revenues.

All of these Internet Survivors had to develop a real business model that would deliver solid margins, profits and growth. They each had to assemble experienced management teams, learn how to deliver superior customer service and build trusted brands. Not easy to do, but they did it.

Fast-forward to today and we have a whole new set of Internet and Software-as-a-Service companies that have emerged and gone public including these firms:

Company

Founded

Business

Ticker

Market Cap

(000’s)

Athena Health

1997

EMR

ATHN

$ 1,560

Blackboard

1997

Education

BBBB

$ 1,280

Concur

1993

Travel & Expense

CNQR

$ 2,960

Cornerstone OnDemand(1)

1999

Talent Mgmt

CSOD

$ 855

Constant Contact

1995

Marketing

CTCT

$ 1,000

Google

1998

Search, PaaS

GOOG

$187,000

Kenexa

1987

Talent Mgmt

KNXA

$ 622

NetSuite

1998

ERP

N

$ 1,880

RightNow

1997

CRM

RNOW

$ 1,030

Salesforce.com

1999

CRM, PaaS

CRM

$16,930

Servicesource (2)

1999

Service Mgmt

SREV

$ 774

SuccessFactors

2001

Talent Mgmt

SFSF

$ 2,990

Taleo

1996

Talent Mgmt

TLEO

$ 1,430

Ultimate Software

1990

Payroll

ULTI

$ 1,490

Vocus

1992

Marketing

VOCS

$ 478

(1) CSOD IPO: March 17, 2011
(2) SREV IPO: March 25, 2011

As you can see most of these companies were founded before the Internet Bubble burst and were forced to create real business models that could deliver profits.

At Montclair Advisors, we specialize in SaaS business advisory services and we know many of these firms quite well and they all have strong management teams, growing businesses and staying power. Unlike the Internet firms that went IPO in 1999 or 2000, most of these firms have had to build up their businesses over ten or more years and are based on some form of recurring revenues.

Major differences between the companies on this list versus the early Dot Bomb firms include:

  • Proven Over Time. As you can see most of these firms are at least ten years old and have weathered the economic changes through the last two recessions.

  • Businesses at Scale. Most of these companies are over $100M in annual revenues, which means they have been successful in selling into multiple markets and geographies.

  • Recurring Revenue Streams. Anyone who has been involved with a company that has developed a subscription business can tell you how hard it is to create a meaningful recurring revenue stream. The advantages of being a SaaS software company based on subscriptions means that revenues remain consistent so there is a high degree of transparency and visibility.

  • High Degree of Customer Satisfaction. All of these companies are dependent on satisfied customers that want to renew their annual subscription agreements and purchase more services. This is quite different than the ‘drive-by’ relationships many of the early Internet companies developed with their customers.

  • Strong Management Teams. After the Dot Com crash it became much harder to file for an IPO and manage a company in the post Sarbanes-Oxley world. These next generation of Internet companies have attracted leading management expertise that knows how to innovate and rapidly scale viable businesses.

So are the valuations of companies like Cornerstone OnDemand and Servicesource, Facebook and LinkedIn too high? Are we beginning to see a SaaS Bubble? Maybe, but all of these companies have been built for the long term and will be around long after any correction, unlike their early Internet cousins Web Van or Kozmo.com.

It is always hard to predict the future, but here are my 10 Predictions for the SaaS market in 2011, and they might just happen:

Blockbuster Subscription Software IPO’s

A number of large consumer subscription software players including Facebook, Groupon, LinkedIn, Zynga and Skype could really open up the public markets with a major blockbuster IPO (or IPO’s) in 2011.  SaaS firms that look to get everyone’s attention with potential IPO’s next year include Cornerstone OnDemand, Workday, Marketo, Service-Now and possibly Plateau.

Major Players Merge to Form the Next Big SaaS Brand

So my prediction (which is a pure guess) is that SuccessFactors and Taleo finally get over their respective CEO ego issues and decide to merge.   Sounds a little crazy, but when you really consider their product portfolios, there might not be as much of an overlap as you might think.  SuccessFactors is basically a performance and analytics company and Taleo is a recruiting and learning (after acquiring Learn.com) company.  They both have some additional components that could be plugged into to create a more comprehensive suite of CPM and Talent Management offerings.

This would also create a combined company with a market cap approaching (SFSF + TLEO) $4B and annual revenues in excess of $400M, which would be the second largest SaaS firm in the market, and a clear leader in their space.  Another potential marriage might be Concur and Ultimate Software.

Oracle Finally Pulls the Trigger on NetSuite

It seems like most Oracle SaaS rumors involve the acquisition of Salesforce.com, and that may happen some day, but the more likely combination for 2011 is NetSuite.  Larry Ellison is a major investor in NetSuite (early investor) and own/controls more that 50% of the company’s shares.  He may come to the conclusion that he needs some real SaaS DNA inside of Oracle to help grow their Fusion business in 2011 and beyond.

SAP Throws in The Towel and Buys Leading SaaS Player

Similar to the realization that many other major traditional ISV’s will come to in 2011, that they are too far beyond in SaaS to catch up organically, SAP will buy their way into SaaS.  The Business ByDesign project for SAP, by some estimates, has cost more than $1 billion and there isn’t much to show for it.  I always thought that the Sybase acquisition was just a smoke screen to cover up how little progress has been made with BBD at their most recent Sapphire user meeting.   Like Oracle, I think SAP reaches out into the market and purchases a SaaS firm to jump start BBD.  RightNow would be an interesting choice since SAP wants to make a splash in the CRM market.

Master Brands Continue to March Towards SaaS

These big software companies are no longer just paying lip service to SaaS or the Cloud, they continue to catch up with the subscription software market transition that is happening everywhere.  All sizes of customers who were battered during the recession are no longer interested in spending a lot of capital and time that has been associated with traditional software projects and are becoming increasing comfortable with SaaS.  This shift in the Software market is massive and is going to take at least 10 years, and we are probably only in the second year (post-recession) of this shift.  Continue to look to see what SaaS moves firms like Oracle, SAP, HP, CA and Infor make in 2011.

Continued Explosion of PaaS offerings

Look at Salesforce.com’s recent moves to expand their Force.com Platform-as-a-Service portfolio with VMForce and then buying Ruby on Rails provider Heroku for over $200 million.  Beyond Force.com there are many other offerings here today and coming in 2011 including App Engine by Google, ApprendaAzure by Microsoft, CorentEngine YardFacebookFlex by Adobe, Fusion by Oracle, IntalioIPP by Intuit, LongJumpNimbulaSuiteCloud by NetSuite, and Wolf Frameworks.

As long as traditional ISV’s continue to move towards SaaS, there will be a green field opportunity for all types of PaaS solutions. Look for several of these firms to be acquired in 2011 by larger ISV’s.

Salesforce.com Continues to Expand Beyond CRM

After attending Dreamforce this month, it was curious to see a number of Force.com firms offering ERP extensions starting to gain real market momentum. Companies like FinancialForce.com (they purchased Appirio’s PSE business) who are delivering a growing suite of financial and accounting applications, JobScience who continue to build out their Talent Relationship Management suite on Force.com, Less Software who is selling a targeted Supply Chain Management solution and even Remedy’s Service Desk offering, RemedyForce Cloud.   If Salesforce offers an attractive exit for any of these firms or their Force.com products, like they did with Heroku, then it might be possible to do a quick roll-up of key partners to create a competitive Cloud-based ERP solution.

Interestingly this type of move might be triggered by Oracle buying Netsuite or Workday going public.

Fake SaaS Firms That Use Private Clouds Will Loose Altitude

Although Private Clouds might be a viable alternative for enterprises who are looking to leverage the economics of the Cloud, for software companies this type of approach will only provide short term ‘Fake SaaS‘ types of solutions.  This type of business model of hosting single-tenant software was known as Application Service Providers (ASP’s) and none of these companies that emerged about 10 years ago were able to find a business model that really scaled profitably.   Private Clouds will offer a short term technology transition steps for software companies who are moving away from just offering traditional on-premise software but this trend will really start to fade by later next year.

New Revenue Streams for SaaS Firms That OEM

At Dreamforce ‘10 Salesforce.com announced that they are launching their new Database.com offering, a Database in the Cloud. What was interesting about this news is that Salesforce is really just reselling a private-label version of Oracle’s database technology.  For Salesforce this is a unique way to take proven Oracle software, designed for on-premise deployment, and create a true subscription-based version of this product.  No doubt that Salesforce will need to do some work to create a massive multi-tenant version of an ORACLE database and then deliver it as a service, but they are already doing this today through their Force.com platform.  This could be a significant new revenue stream for both companies and look for other SaaS firms to try OEM’ing their software as a way to improve their CAGRs in 2011.

This should be an interesting year as the economy improves and the SaaS market really begins to gain some serious momentum.  It should be a fun time to be in the Software business again.

Kevin Dobbs,  Montclair Advisors, LLC

by Kevin Dobbs

Montclair Advisors, LLC

Now with all types of Software-as-a-Service alternatives in the market today, one tip that separates the winners from everyone else is the ability to create a product that is truly viral.  Granted several of these companies listed above offer consumer-oriented offerings, not traditional enterprise or corporate software there are examples like Yammer, were large organizations have very quickly adopted their products because the internal usage spreads like wildfire.  I profiled Yammer and they are definitely an organization that has built its sales and marketing model on being viral.

Here are some tips when thinking about incorporating viral adoption into your product and business strategy:

  • Offer a free version of your software. For most SMB SaaS firms this is now table stakes to play in the game, but for firms like 37Signals, Freshbooks and Yammer have leveraged their free versions as a way to generate qualified paying customers.  Keep in mind this is not pursing a Freemium strategy (ask like a SmartRecruiters, Dropbox or Mint.com), it is just a way of generating a lot of new users, which then can be converted into paying customers.

  • Clear pricing for your product.  By offering a high degree of transparency around pricing, software companies can take the pricing conversation off the table and allow their customers to make their own decisions before they ever contact you.  Here is an example of how 37Signals’ Basecamp product pricing looks on their website… it’s really easy.  This type of tiered pricing allows the customer to self-select the amount of software and service they need to get their job done, and it also enables the customer to start small and add more capability over time.

  • Trials.  If you have a tiered pricing structure but don’t offer a free version of your software, then it is highly recommended to to have a free trial version (up to 30 days free).  This allows your prospects to experience your product first hand and explore its features and functionality.  If the product is relatively straightforward then you can let the prospects just play in their own sandbox.  On the other hand if you product is complex or requires some context-setting, then it would be a good idea to offer proctored assistance through assistance over the phone, webinars or even short videos to help them with individual features.  Intuit has really embraced the SaaS business model and offer many trails including this one for their Intuit Websites product.

  • Intuitive interface. Really think through your interface and make it as easy to use as possible.  Most software users would prefer to do things themselves and your products interface is the key allowing them to do that.  Companies like Intuit do a lot of testing around how their products behave in real-life situations and they observe their customers actually using their products.  This helps with screen layout, workflows and even user roles for certain types of applications.

  • Keep training to a minimum.  If you offer an intuitive product, then there is less of requirement for training but most applications require some type of overview or setup.  For anyone who uses an iPhone, iPad or MacBook Pro, Apple provides all types of training videos that are quite informative and help to get you started using their products.  Also providing a solid knowledgebase of information as well as a vibrant user community also helps to get customers up and running successfully with your product. Check out what Constant Contact’s Learning Center.

  • Small consumable chunks.  We can learn a lot from many of the learning consumer Internet firms like Facebook, LinkedIn and even Zynga.  Especially gaming firms like Zynga (Farmville) have taught us to start small and then expose more functionality over time.  This allows for easier consumption of capabilities and viral adoption of solutions.

  • Rapid Time to Value.  Even more complex systems need to be able to be ’stood up’ quickly.  We often recommend creating a generic version of the software that can be provisioned very rapidly and made available to the customer.  For an SMB type of product I would recommend <1 days to get a basic version and for complex enterprise applications, you should try to deploy a generic version <5 days.  Even though this version of the software will have its functionality and UI configured, data added, workflows tailored, it is important to give the customer something they can start using as close to immediately as possible.  This is also a good idea from a revenue perspective as well because you can start to charge once your customers start using your systems.

Just to recap, getting a product to go viral requires a lot of thought around how your customers are going to use your product, keeping everything simple and focusing on making sure customers are successful when they use your product.

Considering how have been wildly successful some of these companies have been in the consumer space – Facebook has 500M users, Zynga has over 200M monthly users and in the business application space firms like Yammer have over 1M users, 37signals has over 3M BaseCamp users, Freshbooks has over 2M users and Intuit has over 1M SaaS-based users of its products, and important lessons can be learned from how these companies are building their SaaS products for viral adoption.

Last week’s Oracle OpenWorld show was quite an event with many different story lines including the tie-in to the Iron Man 2 movie.  In fact, in the main area outside the keynote hall there were three Iron Man suites along side their Exadata and Exalogic cousins.  So here is what we learned:

Cloud in a Box according to Marc Benioff and Larry Ellison.  There was quite a number of heated, yet humorous references to Marc Benioff’s (CEO at Salesforce) comments related to Oracle’s view of Cloud Computing that it has to reside in an Exadata box.  In fact in one session I attended, he even said that the Internet was not made of Cloud boxes that were even taller than Marc, and he is tall.  In the Sunday afternoon session, Larry was very dismissive of both Marc’s vision of the Internet and his book Behind the Cloud. If you have some time check out Marc Benioff’s OpenWorld keynote, very funny.

Different Viewpoints about Cloud Computing
Larry Ellison - Oracle Marc Benioff - Salesforce.com
Big Picture View Cloud in a Box Cloud on a Box
Centralization Centralized Computing De-Centralized Computing
Scaleability Scale up Scale out
Target Buyer CIO Business executive
Pricing Mostly license Subscription
Control Compliance Experimentation
Cost $$$ $
Big Trend Vertical Integration Consumerization of Software

What is really interesting is that in many ways they are both right.  Larry is very famous about a his rant on Cloud Computing and that it is nothing more than a network, servers and software.  This is true, even the most Cloudy providers in the market like Amazon and Salesforce.com are dependent on a real infrastructure that can scale and is reliable and many of these firms are Oracle customers.

On the other hand, Marc is right that the Cloud is less about buying, building and maintaining this scalable architecture and more about leveraging a firm that provides their Infrastructure-as-a-Service.  This has been one of the main catalysts for the software industry’s move to a subscription business model or SaaS, just like Salesforce.com.

In some ways both companies are right, it just depends on your viewpoint.   I think that Oracle is thinking more like IBM and HP and Salesforce is more aligned to Facebook and Zynga. Even though Larry and Marc were both exchanging jabs last week, they are both customers of each other, and in the end that is good for all of their customers.

Mark Hurd looks like he fits in well with Oracle.  The keynote sessions where Mark presented, he was relaxed and really knew the material.   Given Oracle’s absorption of Sun, it is really helpful to have someone with Mark Hurd’s background helping Larry run the company.  The hardware business is quite different than running a software firm and Oracle was able to secure one of the best hardware executives in the industry from HP.

Oracle is really embracing the hardware world.  It was interesting to see the focus on the new Exadata and Exalogic products.  The company’s messaging revolved around performance, availability, security and management and not very much around applications or Cloud Computing.  A lot of discussion around hardware and software being engineered together to create these incredibly powerful database and middleware server platforms.  But does this approach raise concerns around ‘vendor lock-in‘?   This hardware-centric strategy makes sense because Oracle really views IBM as their biggest competitor and they need to monetize the Sun acquisition as well.

Fusion applications are coming at the end of the year, but not sure if anyone at Oracle cares. Larry told the crowd that the writing of the new Oracle Fusion applications for Financial Management, Procurement and Sourcing, Project and Portfolio Management, Human Capital Management, Customer Relationship Management, Supply Chain Management, and Governance Risk and Compliance.  These are the products that were promised last year at OpenWorld but they appear to be real at this point.  Although I didn’t attend the deep dive sessions for Fusion, others who did told me that they have done a good job.  At the Wednesday afternoon keynote, the demos of the products looked good and the user interface looks quite modern.

According to Larry the writing of the new Fusion applications was the biggest development project in Oracle’s history, it was interesting to see that there was little for no fanfare surrounding this major milestone.  As long as the Fusion applications sell more database and infrastructure software and more Exadata servers, I guess that’s what is important.   The successful roll out of the Fusion applications later in the year is going to be important for the overall software market but I doubt it will really impact the leading SaaS providers like Salesforce.com, Taleo, SuccessFactors or Workday.  It will be interesting to see how Oracle evolves its thinking about the applications market and it’s approach to the Cloud, because that is where all the growth will come over the next 5 years.

by Kevin Dobbs

Montclair Advisors, LLC

When advising software clients who are interested in moving to a SaaS business model, one of the areas I really dig into is how are they selling to new customers. Most of us in the SaaS community realize that carefully tracking your Customer Acquisition Costs or CAC, is a critical component in building a successful and profitable company, but I think it is equally important to understand how traditional software sales  and marketing models and SaaS models differ.

Traditional Software Sales & Marketing Model

Over the past 25 years there has been a traditional way to market and sell enterprise software which has been based on key principles such as:

  • You need a Large direct sales force including a large support team, or as I used to call them, ‘The Cast of Thousands
  • Front loaded compensation plans that pay out when deals are sold
  • High average sales prices, including services, that would almost always be over $500,000
  • Long sales cycles, usually 6-12 months, with pursuit costs averaging around $70,000 for every deal the company played in
  • Win rates are in the 30-50% range
  • Average face-to-face selling time that is around 15%
  • Pipeline building using a combination of in-person events (seminars, tradeshows, user group meetings), telemarketing teams (inbound and cold calling) pounding the phones and a lot of paid marketing campaigns
  • Lead pipelines that appeared full but always seemed to lack the appropriate level of qualified opportunities
  • First generation CRM systems and reports that were produced periodically using Excel

Brings back the good ol’ days doesn’t it.  Many software firms are still using this model and they are finding out that it doesn’t work very well in the new world of Software-as-a-Service sales.  Some of the reasons it doesn’t work is that software buyer preferences are definitely changing, but one big issue is it is very expensive to operate this type of model, especially when you get your revenues paid out over time.

SaaS Sales & Marketing Model

There are several important differences in the SaaS model that make the traditional software sales and marketing model less than effective;

  • SaaS customers pay a subscription based on users or usage of the software service over time, usually over three years.  After the recession, this has become the new normal for software sales
  • More focused solutions that usually have Average Sales Prices that are typically lower, so reps need to sell more deals to hit the same quota targets
  • Key metrics like customer satisfaction, renewals, up-selling and cross selling are even more important for SaaS than they were in the past
  • Sales method is more of a “penetrate and radiate” approach
  • It takes a long time to build up a recurring revenue stream

Given these differences, then what should your SaaS Sales & Marketing model look like?  Here are some ideas to consider when building out your SaaS sales and marketing plans for 2011 that can help you to build out a low-cost but high-efficiency sales and marketing machine;

Marketing

Sales

  • Hire experienced SaaS sales leadership and reps
  • Your SaaS sales team should be more low touch than your traditional sales team
  • Experiment with telesales even with high end enterprise products
  • See is using an indirect channel makes sense for your business, if managed correctly these distribution partnerships can dramatically lower your sales costs
  • Carefully track your lead hand off between marketing and sales, make sure leads are not falling through the cracks
  • Track everything

Metrics like Customer Acquisition Costs and the Magic Number can help your sales and marketing teams see how effective their programs are and can provide insight when to invest and when to continue developing your repeatable sales model.  I would also encourage you to learn more about Mark Leslie’s Sales Learning Curve, because it offers a more scientific approach to cost-effectively building out your SaaS sales team.   Best-in-class firms that have profiled in this blog have adopted many of these techniques to build a scalable but cost-careful sales and marketing organizations.

Stay tuned for Tip #6 Package for Viral Adoption


Continue reading…



Company:            Yammer

Started:                2007

Located:               San Francisco, California

Geography:          North America

Market:                Enterprise Microblogging Platform

Products:            Yammer Desktop, Yammer on your Mobile Device, and Yammer Plug-Ins

Key Customers:  Deloitte, AMD, AAA of Northern California, Nevada and Utah, SMG, Cargill, Thomson Reuters, Sungard, Hill & Knowlton and SunCorp.

Website:               Yammer

Blog:                    Yammer Blog

Twitter:                @Yammer


Recent News:

Yammer is Selected as an MIT Sloan CIO Symposium Innovation Showcase Finalist

Fortune 500 Companies Flock to Yammer

Yammer Secures $10 Million in Series B Funding from Emergence Capital and Previous Investors


I asked David Sacks, Yammer’s Founder, CEO and Chairman of the Board few questions about his business and his view of the SaaS market in 2010.

Did you start out as a Software-as-a-Service company?

Yes, we did start out as a SaaS company. Our company was incubated inside of Geni, which develops family tree software. I was also involved with the consumer Internet with my experience starting PayPal. As both companies scaled, I found it was hard to keep tabs on what everyone was doing, and Yammer was developed to address this challenge. We found that microblogging was a great way to keep current on the status of important projects, individual profiles and information feeds inside of an enterprise.

Then in 2008, we spun out Yammer and that same year won the TechCrunch 50’s Best in Show award.

Initially we were targeting small and medium sized businesses but we are now seeing that Yammer has strong appeal for large enterprises like AAA, AMD, Cargill, Cisco, Deloitte, and Thomson Reuters.

Yammer is very viral because it was very easy for anyone to sign-up, confirm their company’s email address and start using the system. You don’t need to wait for an IT administrator to set up Yammer and you can quickly invite your work colleagues, with the same company email domain, to join in and begin collaborating with you.

When a company wants to claim the network being used by it’s employees, they pay a nominal subscription fee, and then we provide a set of administrative tools that allow them to manage upgrades, security, compliance, deliver premium support, and customize their site.

Part of our initial business model was to base Yammer on the consumer model of software, but make it enterprise-class. We wanted to remove the traditional friction from our software sales process by making our product as easy to use as Facebook.

Why do your customers buy from Yammer?

Our customers never have to pay or upgrade our software unless their employees are using it. This is very attractive, when you compare it to the traditional software selection process where you have to vet vendors, choose one, negotiate the contract, implement the product, pay a lot of money and then no one uses it. Yammer is de-risking the traditional enterprise software value proposition. Employees are valuing it because they use it.

When large companies see thousands of employees using Yammer what do they do? They can do three things - wait and see what happens, shut it down or buy it and we are finding the vast majority of companies are buying Yammer because their employees are being productive and want to collaborate using the software.Our customers also really like our administrative tools for e-discovery, security, directory integration, and network administration.

“If Facebook and Twitter had a baby, it would be Yammer.”

We are like Twitter because we offer a real-time feed of information; you can follow any one, join groups and sort information feeds by hash tags. We are like Facebook because there is no 140-character limit, you can have attachments, threaded replies and we offer a variety of enterprise management tools.

Yammer is a like a virtual office where workers can feel more connected to each other, especially remote workers. We act like the traditional company water cooler for these distributed organizations. As workforces become more mobile, Yammer just make a lot of sense for enterprise collaboration. Today we only offer Yammer in English but we have noticed that there are an increasing number of new customers who are signing up outside of North America. In the near future we will be supporting multiple languages in addition to English.

Customers also like our value-based pricing model. We charge between $3 and $5 per seat per month, depending on the level of support and administrative tools. We also provide volume discounts for our larger customers. This is much more cost attractive than purchasing Chatter from Salesforce.com for $15 per seat, which is quite expensive and most employees don’t want to communicate through the company’s corporate CRM system. Our very fast viral Freemium approach appears to be working, because since we have been live for only the last 18 months we now have over 1 million seats today.

What do you see as the key trend emerging in the SaaS industry?

The first trend is the consumerization of enterprise software; Yammer is a great example of this trend. Real innovation in the technology space over the past 10 years has been on the consumer-side of the software market with products like Facebook and Twitter. At Yammer we want to take these learnings back into the enterprise software world. When I was at PayPal, we were very successful using the Freemium model to promote adoption. This type of approach to software can definitely result in the overall democratization of enterprise software. SaaS is the first step, when the delivery model changed, then there were no upfront costs and the risk is dramatically lower. Using techniques developed by consumer software firms, more and different kinds of buyers can now access enterprise-class software.

The second trend we see is that enterprise software products will be designed more for the end-user than power users or administrators. A good example is how Facebook and Twitter don’t do every possible feature or function and they don’t clutter the user’s screen. This simplified approach to software allow causal users to be more engaged with their products and other users. These types of causal use software products will also appeal to younger employees who have used Facebook and LinkedIn and expect their enterprise software products to be that easy to use.

Social Networking is also a major trend we are seeing. We started thinking about this over the last couple of years, since 2007. Now it seems so obvious, that social networking would grow into an unstoppable trend. The ability to connect workers, to leverage expertise and content all in real-time, which allows everyone to work smarter, just makes a lot of sense. I still think that there is confusion about Enterprise Social Networking, for instance Salesforce sees it as a CRM newsfeed, and we see it as enterprise real-time communication. Eventually we see Enterprise Social Networking replacing corporate email and instant messaging.

What is your outlook for 2010?

In January we raised $10M, led by Emergence, that  provided capital to allow us to expand our team. Our investors liked the fact that we have built a very cost effective business, based on our viral distribution model. Our Q1 sales were greater than all of our sales for last year combined.

The software industry is realizing that Enterprise Collaboration is going to be a huge space. Most software companies will want to get into this market because every company will want one of these collaboration platforms to deploy. The only problem is that most enterprise software firms looks at these types of tools backwards, because they already have multiple different product lines, then they will need to stuff it through their sales channel. At Yammer we have already solved this distribution channel problem and we can actually open up our channel to these companies as a Distribution as a Service model.

We continue to sign up a number of large customers, and this type of adoption makes other large companies comfortable using our technology. Things look great and our traction is accelerating.

Since everyone is interested in SaaS funding and valuations I thought it would be helpful to tell you about an interesting Cloud Computing investor panel I attended at the recent All About the Cloud conference in SF. The session was moderated by Jason Green from Emergence Capital Partners and was joined by Gary Hromadko from Crosslink Capital, Mark McNay from William Blair and Evangelos Simoudis from Trident Capital.

So what did they have to say?

The market has finally changed for the better

2009 was all about survival and the venture community did less than half the investments than in a typical year.

This year is now about growing again and current investments are more focused on companies that have weathered the economic downturn. Their investments are focused on changing the slope of these types of company’s growth curves, by concentrating more on sales and marketing.

SaaS and Cloud companies are leading the way

Consumers have been driving the adoption of easier to use Cloud-based solutions like eBay, iTunes, Facebook, Twitter and LinkedIn. They are viral and can reach critical mass very quickly because there are low barriers to adoption.

With SaaS, the recession has really pushed the advantages of a subscription business model and moving from CapEx to OpEx software investments. It’s like leasing your car rather than buying it.

Lean start-ups are definitely in. Almost all early stage software investments in 2009-10 are Cloud-based because it takes a fair amount of capital to fund SaaS firms and it takes a long time for them to reach profitability. One interesting comment was that later stage on-premise companies are now being asked about what their SaaS/Cloud strategy is for the future, because without it, they may find funding might be difficult.

What the VC’s are looking for

SaaS 1.0 focused on a company’s income statement, expenses and cash flows than GAAP reported financials. One important measurement is a company’s incremental contribution margins (gross margins), which is critical for SaaS. Companies needed to balance capital efficiency with building a business that can scale.

Investors are looking for unique business processes that can only be built or automated through SaaS or the Cloud. Emergence latest investments are pure Cloud-based companies that have viral qualities like YouSendit, the files sharing company and Yammer and the enterprise micro-blogging firm, both of these companies are viral enterprise solutions. Yammer has more than 70,000 customers with at least 1 user and is signing up between 7-10,000 users a month and 10% are turning into paying customers. Crosslink invested in Carbonite, a backup and recovery company, has high margins and is the only other independent player in the category with Mozy, who is owned by EMC. They felt that scarcity of competitors and their ability to manage Customer Acquisition Costs were important in establishing the company’s value.

The panelists also said they are looking for companies that have a rigorous focus on metrics like Customer Lifetime Value and Customer Acquisition Costs. In fact CAC appears to drive business value because it has a lot to do with capital efficiency and the company’s ability to grow their business.

Exits, IPO’s and Valuations

Economy has recovered and CEO’s are ready to start taking on more risk, and it’s a real change in psychology because we are at the beginning of a macro trend that will last more than 10 years.

This is evident by more than 100 M&A transactions last quarter including high profile deals like IBM buying CastIron, Salesforce buying Jigsaw for $142M, Successfactors buying CubeTree for $50M. The current environment is right for deals, especially as SaaS is gaining enterprise momentum with recent deals like SuccessFactors’ mega deal with Walmart for 1.6M users. Transactions like Jigsaw, CubeTree, and CA’s purchase of 3Tera and Nimsoft for $350M all indicate a return to a healthy M&A atmosphere, that will probably last for the next 12-18 months.

Oracle and SAP won’t be aggressive on the M&A front until they come to the realization that they can’t build Cloud solutions internally. Because many SaaS companies have now crossed the $25-30M in recurring revenues threshold, these firms may become quite attractive to these larger ISV’s looking to make the move to the SaaS business model.

But these acquirers don’t want to take on the burn associated with many start-ups so it will be important to stay close to breakeven and you may have to sacrifice growth for profitability. Since the access to capital is still tight, start-ups will have to try and collect cash upfront and continue to tune their business models to improve cash flows.

Companies that seem to own a category have perceived scarcity value which will result in a premium on any transaction, especially if they are perceived to own a segment franchise. VC’s and acquirers are looking for a minimum of 40% CAGR to get a premium valuation.

On the other side of the liquidity front, the IPO window for SaaS companies is beginning to open up and firms like SolarWinds and LogMeIn have now been joined by SPS Commerce and Convio. At least before the recent stock market downturn, these companies had traded up by 15% since their IPOs.

The panel seemed to believe that the market is definitely getting better and that is good news for SaaS and Cloud Computing companies looking for funding or an exit!

There were a number of keynotes at last week’s All About the Cloud conference that focused on Public and Private Clouds and the market. What was interesting is that the typical hype associated with Cloud Computing appears to be calming down. It seems like it is no longer necessary to justify or explain the Cloud, or at least for the audience at that conference. According to Gartner the Cloud Computing market will be $150B in IT spend by 2013 as compared to $56B in 2009 and is the #1 Strategic Technology for CIO’s in 2010

The new Cloud attitude appears to be more about ‘when’ and ‘how’ enterprises will be utilizing Cloud solutions rather than ‘if’.

Coexistence is ‘In’

The other interesting change, which I first noticed at the end of last year at both OracleWorld and Dreamforce, was that everyone seemed to be talking about co-existence or hybrid uses of the Cloud with on-premise assets. This more reasoned approach is going to make more sense to CIO’s and business executives to who have spend millions building out their infrastructure over the past 10 years. Cloud can be complimentary. Starting with fringe or edge applications and then over time becoming more useful for mission critical functions.

The Consumer Cloud

Tuesday’s press panel with [insert names] focused mostly on the use of the Cloud for consumer applications like Facebook, Google, Amazon, eBay and future offerings like iTunes LIVE and Microsoft Office 2010 (launched on May 12th). Cloud is everywhere but the average consumer doesn’t even know they are in the Cloud. With the advent of ubiquitous broadband access, smart devices and massive data centers, there are all sorts of Cloud based consumer services emerging. But the market is still evolving because the Generation X’ers are plugged into the Cloud but as Kevin O’Brien from Oracle said in his session, ‘My mom still doesn’t know what the Cloud is’, and she is probably isn’t alone.

Private Clouds

There were many sessions that discussed how there is money to be made in the Private Cloud market. You can have many of the advantages of the Public Cloud without the security and control issues. IDC projects that by 2014, $11.8B will be spend on servers to create Private Clouds, considering overall IT spend in the US is approximately $1T, that’s not big percentage today, but it will be in the future.

Scared of the Cloud

Are CIO’s scared of the Cloud because of their potential for loss of control, security issues and resource impacts? Several sessions touched on this aspect of the Cloud Computing market including CIO’s creating hurdles to adoption.

Given the cost and scalability advantages why wouldn’t organizations like the State of California quickly adopt Cloud based solutions? What about the switching costs like decommissioning your own data centers, software and restructuring personnel. If you already own PeopleSoft and it is working, will you really be open to a Workday ‘rip and replace’ scenario? Enterprise organizations are warming up to the idea, just ask Flextronics.

One panelist cited a recent Google Docs deal that went sideways at UC Davis where they scrapped their trial for several thousand users. Maybe there were other considerations than the Cloud but most of the sessions agreed that the benefits of the Cloud outweigh the risks and CIO’s are starting to think in terms of intelligent trade-offs instead of just being against the Cloud. This is probably smart, given the recent economic conditions and every CEO is looking to optimize their IT spend.

Cloud 2010 and Beyond

Cloud is just the new thing. According to Bill McNee at Saugatuck Technologies, their most recent Cloud Computing survey indicated that 86% of the respondents thought that the Cloud would be part of mainstream IT by 2014.

There appears to be reasonable optimism that Cloud Computing is not a fad and its going to happen, it’s just going to be the way people are operating today in the future. The Google Docs business is adding 3,000 new companies a day, that doesn’t seem like a fad. According to Gartner, their Hype Curve for Cloud Computing showed that July 2009 was the peak and it really appears that the market is maturing about the Cloud.

Venture Capital firms are only funding Cloud-based start-ups and large technology companies like Cisco, CA and IBM are buying SaaS and Cloud based companies (like CastIron Systems) because they realize they need to overcome the ‘Innovators Dilemma’ around the Cloud. There will be an increase in successful SaaS and Cloud companies as the market continues to mature, as well as a lot more M&A activity.

As one speaker so aptly described the current market situation for many companies when evaluating Cloud Computing, ‘When a piano falling from the sky, you should be worried more about will it hit you not where it is while it is falling.’