There were a number of keynotes at last week’s All About the Cloud conference that focused on Public and Private Clouds and the market. What was interesting is that the typical hype associated with Cloud Computing appears to be calming down. It seems like it is no longer necessary to justify or explain the Cloud, or at least for the audience at that conference. According to Gartner the Cloud Computing market will be $150B in IT spend by 2013 as compared to $56B in 2009 and is the #1 Strategic Technology for CIO’s in 2010

The new Cloud attitude appears to be more about ‘when’ and ‘how’ enterprises will be utilizing Cloud solutions rather than ‘if’.

Coexistence is ‘In’

The other interesting change, which I first noticed at the end of last year at both OracleWorld and Dreamforce, was that everyone seemed to be talking about co-existence or hybrid uses of the Cloud with on-premise assets. This more reasoned approach is going to make more sense to CIO’s and business executives to who have spend millions building out their infrastructure over the past 10 years. Cloud can be complimentary. Starting with fringe or edge applications and then over time becoming more useful for mission critical functions.

The Consumer Cloud

Tuesday’s press panel with [insert names] focused mostly on the use of the Cloud for consumer applications like Facebook, Google, Amazon, eBay and future offerings like iTunes LIVE and Microsoft Office 2010 (launched on May 12^th). Cloud is everywhere but the average consumer doesn’t even know they are in the Cloud. With the advent of ubiquitous broadband access, smart devices and massive data centers, there are all sorts of Cloud based consumer services emerging. But the market is still evolving because the Generation X’ers are plugged into the Cloud but as Kevin O’Brien from Oracle said in his session, ‘My mom still doesn’t know what the Cloud is’, and she is probably isn’t alone.

Private Clouds

There were many sessions that discussed how there is money to be made in the Private Cloud market. You can have many of the advantages of the Public Cloud without the security and control issues. IDC projects that by 2014, $11.8B will be spend on servers to create Private Clouds, considering overall IT spend in the US is approximately $1T, that’s not big percentage today, but it will be in the future.

Scared of the Cloud

Are CIO’s scared of the Cloud because of their potential for loss of control, security issues and resource impacts? Several sessions touched on this aspect of the Cloud Computing market including CIO’s creating hurdles to adoption.

Given the cost and scalability advantages why wouldn’t organizations like the State of California quickly adopt Cloud based solutions? What about the switching costs like decommissioning your own data centers, software and restructuring personnel. If you already own PeopleSoft and it is working, will you really be open to a Workday ‘rip and replace’ scenario? Enterprise organizations are warming up to the idea, just ask Flextronics.

One panelist cited a recent Google Docs deal that went sideways at UC Davis where they scrapped their trial for several thousand users. Maybe there were other considerations than the Cloud but most of the sessions agreed that the benefits of the Cloud outweigh the risks and CIO’s are starting to think in terms of intelligent trade-offs instead of just being against the Cloud. This is probably smart, given the recent economic conditions and every CEO is looking to optimize their IT spend.

Cloud 2010 and Beyond

Cloud is just the new thing. According to Bill McNee at Saugatuck Technologies, their most recent Cloud Computing survey indicated that 86% of the respondents thought that the Cloud would be part of mainstream IT by 2014.

There appears to be reasonable optimism that Cloud Computing is not a fad and its going to happen, it’s just going to be the way people are operating today in the future. The Google Docs business is adding 3,000 new companies a day, that doesn’t seem like a fad. According to Gartner, their Hype Curve for Cloud Computing showed that July 2009 was the peak and it really appears that the market is maturing about the Cloud.

Venture Capital firms are only funding Cloud-based start-ups and large technology companies like Cisco, CA and IBM are buying SaaS and Cloud based companies (like CastIron Systems) because they realize they need to overcome the ‘Innovators Dilemma’ around the Cloud. There will be an increase in successful SaaS and Cloud companies as the market continues to mature, as well as a lot more M&A activity.

As one speaker so aptly described the current market situation for many companies when evaluating Cloud Computing, ‘When a piano falling from the sky, you should be worried more about will it hit you not where it is while it is falling.’

As Zach Nelson kicked off last week’s Netsuite’s Partner and Developer Conference – SuiteCloud 2010 in San Francisco, there was a real focus on the importance of their platform as a way for partners to play a critical part in helping to take his company to the next level.

They kicked of the special launch event that featured a video of some of their key partners including TrueCloud, InsideView (who has been profiled in this blog), Aria, Hein & Associates, PaceJet, RootStock Software and Demand Solutions Group.

I think it is great with companies are building their business around their partners and creating a cool ecosystem where everyone can make money… more on that in a minute.

Zach then covered some Cloud Computing trends;

· Fake SaaS – He compared the NetSuite offerings, which are Cloud-based to Microsoft’s GreatPlains offering which is just a hosted version of their same on-premise offering. Still single tenant, version locked and requires Citrix to make it work like a true SaaS application. These types of business models will find it almost impossible to make money using a Fake SaaS. Other vendors mentioned here were Lawson and SAP.

· SaaS-based Financial Systems Are Popular. He showed a Gartner market slide (from 2008) that showed NetSuite as the fastest growing FMS provider.

· Traditional License Software Firms Are Hurting – This is nothing new because Saugatuck Technologies, Ray Wang from Altimeter and Montclair Advisors have all written about this but this slide says it all…

Customers are moving away from the old software model.

· The Cloud can now handle complex business processes. This has been demonstrated by vendors like NetSuite, Workday (Flextronics), Amazon AWS and SuccessFactors (Siemens) servicing very large and complex clients.

· Customization is no longer the Achilles heel of Cloud applications. In fact, it was argued that customization with NetSuite is now a killer feature of their Cloud offerings.

· Channels are emerging as an important component of a successful Cloud business model.

· The Cloud is getting social. With applications like Twitter, Facebook, LinkedIn, blogs, Fluid, Mzinga, InsideView, applications are more focused on communities and content than ever before.

There was a funny segment that discussed the complexity associated with the development of years of on-premise software, which he called an infrastructure hairball. It is much more cost effective to manage a single architecture, database and system of record. He mentioned that the cost of managing an SAP system (ala hairball) was approximately 3% of a company’s revenues, while operating their system was only 0.1%.

Then Zach got back to the partners and referenced a number of applications that are being built on top of the NetSuite platform – SuiteCloud , like RootStock Software’s MRP application. Other providers who have integrated into SuiteCloud include Amazon Web Services, Google, InsideView and HostAnalytics.

I thought the most interesting part of this session was when they brought IRON Solutions and NewHolland on stage to discuss the vertical application they had built on top of SuiteCloud.

New Holland has approximately 9,800 customers and they wanted to automate and enhance their relationship with their partners/distributors. They started working with NetSuite in 2007.

IRON Solutions is the Kelly Blue Book of agricultural equipment and offered a very complex product configurator along with CRM capabilities that allowed distributors better create and manage pricing and leads. They launched their new products built on NetSuite, IRON HQ for new product promotions, IRON Builder for pricing and lead management, IRON Guides for appraisal and trade and IRON Search for promotion and sales.

New Holland wanted to balance both the science and art of their business to move more of their customers to the web. Darwin Melnyk, CEO from IRON Solutions and David Greenberg from NewHolland whipped out their iPads and demonstrated their new applications.

Increasingly these type of vertical partner applications are going to be popular with customers looking for more tailored solutions for their specific businesses. NetSuite has more than 200 channel partners and sales through their channel has grown by 40% on a compounded annual basis. Which is quite healthy given our recent recession.

New partner announcements included;

· ISV/OEM’s – JCurve Solutions

· Systems Integrators – Hein & Associates (a Top 50 CPA firm), Fujitsu that is forming a strategic relationship for Japan with NetSuite and WIPRO who is building a practice around NetSuite OneWorld.

· BPO – GenPact is building an ERP Outsourcing business on NetSuite

I mentioned at the beginning why working with partners like NetSuite can be really profitable and with their new SP100 program, channel partners can get 100% of their first years revenue when they move older client/server applications to NetSuite.

Overall, it is nice to see major players embrace their partners and give them an opportunity to build their business and help their partner - a real win-win for everyone.

Happy New Year!

In February Montclair Advisors launched our SaaS Business Profile Series and have been focused on covering as many SaaS companies as possible during 2009. As it turns out we were able to profile more than 30 SaaS companies of all types including pure SaaS firms, Cross-Overs and Hybrids!

We would like to thank all of the executives and companies that participated during 2009 and we look forward to continuing to follow their progress during 2010.

What we learned from these thirty-four profiles:

• SaaS is an evolving business model - It is still a new concept and few firms are running a pure subscription software models. Beware that there is still a lot of “Fake SaaS” out in the market overall.
• There are many variations of SaaS - these variations are based on the company’s starting point, the market they serve and the types of products they sell. Interestingly, Salesforce.com is actually not a very representative SaaS business model for the broader market.
• It takes time to build a real SaaS company - For many SaaS firms it takes up to 7 years to reach breakeven and nearly 10 years to ultimately gain scale with their business model.
• Cross-over providers will still need to hold onto their on-premise legacy for the foreseeable future, because it is hard to switch customers to SaaS all at once.  It is also difficult to upset your maintenance revenue streams, especially during tough economic times.
• The Great Recession has permanently changed the Software buyer’s behavior towards SaaS due to the lack of available capital. When you see SAP and Oracle and many of these profiled ISV’s moving their businesses to SaaS, you know it isn’t a fad.
• Penetrate and Radiate. The successful SaaS firms have started small, with easy to sell, easy to consume solutions.  They then develop additional software, services and content solutions to sell back into their installed base.

Here is an overview of the thirty-four companies Montclair Advisors covered in 2009:

Profiles by SaaS Category

Pure SaaS:        15     Started out and only offer SaaS subscription services

Cross-Overs:    11      Started out as on-premise, but have fully transitioned to SaaS

Hybrids:             8      Continue to offer SaaS services AND on-premise software

Public vs. Private

Public:               6

Private:             28

Profiles by Age of Company

0-5 Years:         9

5-8 Years:        10

8+ Years:         15

M&A by Companies

Sell-side:            2    Mint.com by Intuit for $170M and QuickArrow by NetSuite for $20M

Buy-side:           4    Lithium Technologies (Keibi Technologies), RightNow (HiveLive), Taleo

(Worldwide Comp), Xactly (Centive)

Fundraising Public & Private

What was also interesting to see is that even in the toughest economic climate since the Dot Com meltdown, that many firms that were profiled were able to raise capital in both the private and public market places.   The big winners were SuccessFactors who raised more than $200M in a public offering and Workday, raised an impressive $75M private round that was led by New Enterprise Associates.  As the economy begins to turn in 2010, expect to see more SaaS firms going back out to raise growth capital.

We hope these profiles have been helpful to our readers and we will continue to profile interesting SaaS firms in 2010, because we learn a lot about our emerging industry and we will continue to build back into the Montclair Advisors advisory services that help our clients become successful SaaS companies.

Please let us know what you think, because we would welcome any ideas on how to improve the Saas Business Profile Series for 2010.  Just drop me an email at kevin@montclairadvisors.com.

In Charles Darwin’s landmark work on the Theory of Evolution, he stated that “…Natural selection acts only by taking advantage of slight successive variations; it can never take a great and sudden leap, but must advance by short and sure, though slow steps.” Based on what has been happening with our economy over the past six months, the Human Capital Management software world is going to be forced to do a quick evolution.

Times are tough; just consider the global economic slowdown over the past three years. In 2007 it was the sub-prime mortgage crisis, in 2008 it was the Banking crisis and in 2009 we are beginning to see the Human Resources crisis.

This is very different environment for HR professionals than the old War for Talent era that was discussed by industry experts over the past five years; this current crisis is more related to a dramatic reduction in jobs in the economy and unemployment approaching 10%. Human Resources related budgets and headcount have been cut way back in an effort to stem the financial tide. Unfortunately most companies were not ready to eliminate anywhere from 5-30% of their workforces overnight. Not only were they not prepared for this change but they probably don’t completely understand what the future impact of their actions will be for their workforces. These dramatic changes have left HR in a precarious position looking forward because they have little in the way of staff or resources but their charter remains the same.

HR’s Rapid Evolution

As someone who sold HCM software for the last 12 years, it was always part of the sales pitch that the HR organization is always expected to do more with less. Now that the environment has really changed, when senior executives now say to HR, ‘do more with less,’ they really mean it.

Just like in natural selection, the HR survivors need to evolve. So in this brave new world, you no longer have the level of resources that that you have taken for granted for years. Resources like IT support, capital dollars in your annual budget, a team of people to work on projects and time. You may ask, how do I evolve? With dramatically less people, budget and basically the same responsibilities, you need to automate as much of your workload as well as your personal interactions. In this new world, the human touch is going to be at a real premium when it comes to HR.

Well - now that you are completely depressed, let’s review some ideas on how you can be an HR survivor. Did you know that most companies have up to 200 different HR suppliers, depending on the size of your company? Do you really need all of them? Since you are now in a zero sum budget exercise, start looking at your operating expenses as one big pot of money and start determining what is essential and what is optional. As you start your process, you need to free up budget to fund critical automation projects that can enable HR to continue to push along its strategic objectives. This may actually be a process that your IT business partners might actually be willing to help you with, since they are feeling HR’s pain like never before.

Natural Selection

So as you start thinking about your natural selection budget project, you should start to build out your game plan by trading out your old software for new software. My general conclusion about software is simple, old software is bad and new software is good.

Let me explain…

Many of the current Human Capital Management software providers evolved from PeopleSoft. PeopleSoft was the leading HR software provider in the market for nearly twenty years and spawned a complete suite of Enterprise Resource Planning applications including benefits administration, payroll and other HR applications. When PeopleSoft was purchased by Oracle in 2005, Oracle became the dominant provider but they appear to have no clear future plans for their HR software. So you need to continue to pay maintenance for old software, which keeps getting older.

When thinking about natural selection for HR software, think about the clear disadvantages in the current environment for your old school software provider:

• Software requires a large capital investment. This might be really difficult to get funded in our current environment, no matter how critical the software is to your company’s objectives.

• Implementation projects are both long and complex. Lots of investment to support customization and an expensive team of consultants who will live on-site for months or years. The consultants have to install your software in your data center, which will require a significant investment in hardware and infrastructure.

• Massive software upgrades. Whether it is moving from PeopleSoft 8 to PeopleSoft ? or to the latest version of SAP, these upgrades are expensive and require a lot of internal support resources and a big hardware investment.

• Lack of flexibility. The older software providers typically have rigid products, which make it tough to make even basic changes to features, reports or anything else. This is also a big disadvantage of buying all your HR software from a single vendor, like Oracle or SAP.

• Don’t play well with others. Ideally all of the software works together to make it easier to configure workflows, data elements, reports, and analytics because your data is sitting in a lot of different systems. If your software isn’t open to working with other systems, it can get really expensive, and you don’t have any budget to glue everything together.

Now you can see why old software is bad… and why they may be going the way of the dinosaur in the next 5-10 years. That’s right, even Oracle and SAP. Remember MSA and McCormick & Dodge!

What attributes should you be looking for in your future surviving HCM software suppliers?

These survivors have these clear market advantages:

• Software-as-a-Service. You have probably heard this term but it is simply when the software company rents you the software and you subscribe to their service the next 3-5 years. Because of this approach to delivering software as a service, SaaS firms are forced to be more cost-efficient because they get paid over time. SaaS software is delivered to your users through the Internet, which means your IT department doesn’t have to have to buy or support any software or hardware – this can save your company a lot of money.

• Long-term relationships. Because you rent the software, your SaaS provider has a vested interest in keeping you happy because you will want to continue to renew your subscription to the their software. Unlike old software firms who would sell you their software and disappear, SaaS firms are encouraged to stay close their clients and listen to your input.

• Incremental changes. It was not only the expense but also the tremendous organizational disruption associated with large software upgrades that customers really dislike about the old software model. SaaS clients enjoy a ongoing stream of transparent upgrades, that fix bugs, add features and their software literally evolves over time.

• Less extra costs. Since SaaS providers host their software in their own data centers, your company doesn’t need any IT staff to support their software or infrastructure (servers, firewalls and security) typically required to run HR applications.

• Configuration. SaaS firms offer more flexibility in the way they set up your software. Unlike the older software firms that bring a cast of thousands to customize and install your software, SaaS companies can set up an initial version of your software in minutes or hours rather than in months. Then once they understand your business needs, the software can be configured without custom programming. This approach saves you both time and money.

• Open for business. In this new world it will be difficult for any company to purchase every type of HR software from a single provider, so it is important for software to communicate and share information with many different software packages. This sharing will enable you to automate as many HR tasks as possible, allowing you to do more with fewer resources over time.

Slow Evolution of HCM Software

A little known fact is that the original Software-as-a-Service provider is Automatic Data Processing. They have been delivering payroll and HR services as a service, for nearly fifty years. Their offerings started out as a basic payroll service and their internal software just helped them to deliver their service more efficiently to their clients.

In the 1990’s, the next generation of on-line solutions appeared - where on-premise software was transitioned to being hosted in providers’ data centers (commonly referred to as Application Service Providers). A number of HR ASP software providers emerged including: Employease, PeopleSoft eCenter, and Workscape.

Then about ten years later, the conversation evolved from just hosting traditional software and a new model emerged - on-demand software, that provided a pay-as-you-go pricing model along with streamlined upgrades and new support processes. Some of these on-demand providers included: Authoria, Kenexa, SumTotal, Stepstone and Ultimate Software.

Then just a few years ago SaaS providers started to gain momentum. These firms really looked at delivering their software truly as a service and never delivered it on premise, sold in the traditional way. The HR SaaS providers always delivered their software over the Internet, with a modest amount of services, no upgrades, per-employee-month pricing and self-service support. Many better known HR SaaS providers include SuccessFactors, Taleo and Workday.

The next generation of HCM software might be based on Cloud Computing, where the SaaS providers no longer own their data centers and use providers like Google or Amazon.com to deliver world-class infrastructure support at on a pay-per-transaction fee. This approach could drive down costs, complexity and make a wide range of traditionally expensive HCM software much more affordable for small and medium-sized businesses.

Darwin Speaks

The HCM software market has undergone a number of wide ranging transformations over the last thirty years. We come back to the premise of old software is bad and new software is good. Old software is bad because it is expensive to maintain, modify and upgrade. Software teams that have the experience of working on traditional software but now working at new companies where they are using modern techniques might find it difficult to make their software better, faster and cheaper.

As you think of your portfolio of HCM software providers, maybe Darwin could help. And if Darwin were alive today, and knew about Human Capital Management software, I think he could put many of your company’s providers into these categories:

• Endangered – they are doing some of the right things to turn themselves into survivors but haven’t turned the corner just yet. These are the providers you need to keep a close eye on, just in case they become extinct.

• Extinct – those providers who are on the downside of innovation, living off of your precious maintenance, old architectures, delivered on premise and probably won’t be around for the long term.

• Survivors – those software firms who are worthy of your investment and will be in the market for the long term.

Company:              Workday
Started:                  Founded in March 2005 by former PeopleSoft executives Dave Duffield an                                       Aneel Bhusri

Located:                 Pleasanton, California

Geography:            Global

Market(s):               Software-as-a-Service
Products:               Human Resources, Payroll and Financial Management  

Key Customers:     Flextronics, Chiquita Brands, H.B. Fuller, Salesforce.com,

                              McKee Foods

Website:                Workday

Blog:                     Workday Blog

Recent News:

-Workday Delivers Pay for Performance and Worker Spend Management

-More than 30 Companies Live on Workday

-Workday Passes 50 Customer Milestone      

I asked Workday’s Chief Technology Officer Stan Swete a few questions about Workday and the Company’s view of the SaaS market in 2009.

Did you start out as a Software-as-a-Service company?

Since its inception in 2005, Workday has always been a Software-as-a-Service company.  Our co-founders, Dave Duffield and Aneel Bhusri, both spent many years in the on-premise world and identified the opportunity for industry change.  Business software that was designed in the 80s and 90s had become far too complex and expensive to deal with, and it wasn’t meeting the needs of contemporary organizations.  There was a big opportunity to scrap all traditional software, start from scratch and take an entirely new approach.  Just 3 years out of the gate, Workday delivers Human Resources, Payroll and Financials – all via SaaS.

Why do your customers buy from Workday?

First, low cost of ownership and fast time to value are huge right now. Companies that are using on-premise applications are looking to get out from under the maintenance burden and many are turning to SaaS.  And, since SaaS can be implemented quickly, many Workday customers are measuring fast returns.

Second, customers are looking for innovation.  As I mentioned earlier, most on-premise software was built in the 80s and 90s.  Workday is new - built from the ground-up on modern Web-based technologies.  We’ve incorporated search, links and tags throughout the application, making it intuitive for the user.  And, by the nature of the SaaS model, the product is always getting better. 

Finally, and we take this very seriously, we are committed to being a trusted partner.  Our customers are our most valued and important partners, and in fact, our product is a direct reflection of their feedback.  Workday has recently achieved a 100 percent customer satisfaction rating, and we attribute this to our commitment to them as partners. 

What do you see as the key trend emerging in the SaaS industry?

Especially because of the hassles associated with on-premise maintenance and upgrades, companies will continues to replace their current traditional systems with SaaS.  I think the bigger driver over the next 18 months may be that companies start really looking at how to emerge from the tough economic environment in a strong leadership position – having a modern technology footprint will be a central part of those efforts. 

What is your outlook for 2009?

SaaS is ready for the enterprise.  We’ve hit a tipping point, and “Enterprise-Ready SaaS” will continue to prove itself this year as large companies continue to go live on Workday and other best-of-breed providers.  Mid- and large-sized companies will continue to select SaaS for many of the reasons I’ve outlined above: lower cost of ownership, faster time to value, continued innovation, and vendor commitment to be trusted partners.

 Thank you to Stan Swete, Jeff Pulver and Christine Cefalo for contributing to this profile.